SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 44.83% | 24.64% | 30.53% |
| Both teams to score 57.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% | 45.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% | 67.94% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% | 20.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.12% | 52.89% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% | 28.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.2% | 63.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-1 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.53% |
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