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Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2021 at 8.05am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
CC

Adelaide United
3 - 2
Central Coast

Juric (34' pen., 70' pen., 83' pen.)
Yengi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Silva (15'), Kuol (63')
Tongyik (16'), Urena (24'), Nigro (62'), Rowles (83'), Stajcic (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawCentral Coast Mariners
44.83%24.64%30.53%
Both teams to score 57.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39%45.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06%67.94%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57%20.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12%52.89%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.2%63.81%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 44.83%
    Central Coast Mariners 30.53%
    Draw 24.63%
Adelaide UnitedDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 44.83%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-1 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.96%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 30.53%

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