Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Sydney FC
16.14% ( 0)	19.1% ( 0.4)	64.76% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 57.49% (

-1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.54% (

-1.94)

36.46% (

1.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.39% (

-2.15)

58.6% (

2.15)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.32% (

-1.22)

35.68% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.55% (

-1.28)

72.45% (

1.28)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39% (

-0.64)

10.61% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.59% (

-1.47)

34.4% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 16.14%

Sydney FC 64.76%

Draw 19.1%

Auckland FC	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.44% Total : 16.14%	1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.1%	1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.4) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.57) 1-3 @ 7.34% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 4% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 1.85% ( -0.14) 0-5 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.84% Total : 64.76%