Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 93.41%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 2.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-4 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-5 (8.05%) and 0-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.78%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (0.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.