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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
52.47% ( -1.54) | 21.99% ( 0.62) | 25.55% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 62.55% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.19% ( -2.09) | 36.81% ( 2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.02% ( -2.3) | 58.99% ( 2.3) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( -1.19) | 14.22% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.06% ( -2.38) | 41.95% ( 2.38) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.44) | 27.09% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0.58) | 62.47% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.57% Total : 52.47% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.55% |
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