Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.