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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
May 5, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Dolphin Stadium
WU

Brisbane Roar
2 - 1
Western Utd

Brindell-South (72'), Danzaki (90+4')
Gillesphey (32'), Daley (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wales (60')
Scott (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawWestern United
45.43%24.8%29.77%
Both teams to score 56.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3%46.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04%68.96%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38%20.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82%53.17%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82%29.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87%65.12%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 45.43%
    Western United 29.77%
    Draw 24.8%
Brisbane RoarDrawWestern United
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.77%

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