SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 41.59% | 25.32% | 33.09% |
| Both teams to score 55.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% | 47.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% | 69.91% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% | 22.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.46% | 56.55% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% | 27.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.99% | 63.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.1% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.09% |
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