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Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Apr 9, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
BR

Macarthur
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Rose (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wenzel-Halls (12'), Danzaki (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawBrisbane Roar
40.25%24.95%34.8%
Both teams to score 57.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37%45.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04%67.96%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83%56.17%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52%25.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67%60.33%
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 40.25%
    Brisbane Roar 34.8%
    Draw 24.94%
MacarthurDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8%
0-1 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.8%

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