Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
