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Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Jan 3, 2021 at 5.05am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
CC

Macarthur
0 - 2
Central Coast


Derbyshire (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
De Silva (35'), Smylie (89')
Kuol (45+1'), Simon (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 79.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-3 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Macarthur win it was 2-1 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawCentral Coast Mariners
8.02%12.3%79.68%
Both teams to score 56.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.45%24.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.65%44.35%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.78%40.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.15%76.85%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.22%4.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.67%19.34%
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 8.02%
    Central Coast Mariners 79.68%
    Draw 12.3%
MacarthurDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 2.43%
1-0 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 8.02%
1-1 @ 5.33%
2-2 @ 3.69%
0-0 @ 1.92%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 12.3%
0-3 @ 9.02%
0-2 @ 8.9%
1-3 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-4 @ 6.86%
1-4 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.85%
0-5 @ 4.17%
1-5 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 3.74%
2-4 @ 2.84%
0-6 @ 2.11%
1-6 @ 1.93%
2-5 @ 1.73%
0-7 @ 0.92%
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 79.68%

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