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Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Dec 31, 2020 at 8.05am UK
Central Coast Stadium
NJ

Central Coast
1 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Kuol (43')
Bozanic (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Donovan (42'), Mauragis (45+2'), O'Toole (71'), Thurgate (74'), Ugarkovic (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawNewcastle Jets
25.22%24.16%50.62%
Both teams to score 54.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53%47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21%32.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65%69.35%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41%18.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.13%49.87%
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 25.22%
    Newcastle Jets 50.62%
    Draw 24.15%
Central Coast MarinersDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 6.8%
2-1 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.22%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-2 @ 8.63%
1-3 @ 5.4%
0-3 @ 4.84%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.27%
0-4 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.62%

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