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Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Jan 30, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
SF

Macarthur
0 - 3
Sydney FC


Derbyshire (34'), Franjic (63'), Jovanovic (64')
Milligan (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wood (66', 86'), Ninkovic (76')
Brattan (54'), Baumjohann (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawSydney FC
24.15%23.02%52.82%
Both teams to score 57.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99%43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.59%65.4%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.9%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71%16.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.15%45.84%
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 24.15%
    Sydney FC 52.82%
    Draw 23.02%
MacarthurDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 6.21%
1-0 @ 5.93%
2-0 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.15%
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-1 @ 9.31%
0-2 @ 8.45%
1-3 @ 5.91%
0-3 @ 5.11%
2-3 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.32%
2-4 @ 1.55%
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.82%

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