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Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Jan 17, 2021 at 5.05am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
M

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Macarthur

Yuel (42')
Boogaard (41'), Abbas (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Puyo (8'), Derbyshire (23')
Etxebarria (31'), Hollman (75'), Milligan (84'), Federici (85'), Ruhs (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMacarthur
45.26%23.37%31.37%
Both teams to score 62.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.69%39.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.36%61.65%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28%17.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61%48.39%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.06%58.94%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 45.26%
    Macarthur 31.37%
    Draw 23.36%
Newcastle JetsDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 45.26%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 4.34%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-1 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 4.3%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.37%

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