Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
