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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2020 at 10am UK
Perth Oval, Perth

Perth Glory
1 - 2
Sh. Shenhua

FT(HT: 0-2)
Xinli (7'), Hanchao (38')
Wei (26'), Mbia (35'), N'Doumbou (80'), Aidi (86')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Perth Glory and Shanghai Shenhua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawShanghai Shenhua
36.04%24.15%39.81%
Both teams to score 60.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.3%41.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9%64.1%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03%22.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24%56.76%
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92%21.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11%53.89%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 36.04%
    Shanghai Shenhua 39.81%
    Draw 24.14%
Perth GloryDrawShanghai Shenhua
2-1 @ 8.16%
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.04%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-1 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 4.48%
2-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.74%
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 39.81%


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