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Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Jan 20, 2021 at 10.20am UK
Perth Oval
AU

Perth Glory
5 - 3
Adelaide United

Kilkenny (10' pen.), D'Agostino (34', 60'), Fornaroli (51'), Armiento (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Konstandopoulos (42'), Toure (88'), Halloran (90+3')
Caletti (23')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
32.23%24.57%43.21%
Both teams to score 58.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41%44.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05%66.95%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47%26.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27%61.73%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.27%20.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.65%53.35%
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 32.23%
    Adelaide United 43.21%
    Draw 24.56%
Perth GloryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.62%
1-0 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 32.23%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-1 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 4.74%
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 3.14%
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.21%

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