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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 32.87% | 23.87% | 43.26% |
| Both teams to score 61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.91% | 41.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.52% | 63.48% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% | 24.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.11% | 58.89% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% | 19.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.02% | 50.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% 1-0 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.87% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 4.94% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.28% Total : 43.26% |
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