SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AGMK win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Sepahan had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AGMK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Sepahan win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AGMK | Draw | Sepahan |
38.7% ( -1.07) | 27.18% ( -0.45) | 34.12% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( 1.95) | 55.26% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( 1.58) | 76.48% ( -1.58) |
| AGMK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 0.32) | 27.78% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( 0.42) | 63.36% ( -0.41) |
| Sepahan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( 2) | 30.57% ( -2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% ( 2.31) | 66.8% ( -2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| AGMK | Draw | Sepahan |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.41)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.66)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.12% |
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