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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Sepahan win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Draw | Sepahan |
45.92% ( 1.15) | 29.05% ( 0) | 25.03% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 40.94% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.59) | 64.78% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.26% ( -0.42) | 83.74% ( 0.41) |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( 0.32) | 28.4% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( 0.4) | 64.15% ( -0.41) |
| Sepahan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.17% ( -1.4) | 42.83% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.85% ( -1.21) | 79.14% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Draw | Sepahan |
| 1-0 @ 15.31% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 45.92% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.04% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.07% Total : 25.03% |
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