Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 - 2
AMGK

Soirov (87' pen.)
Sulaymanov (29'), Mishchenko (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Polvonov (67'), Dokic (79')
Rakhmanov (54'), Ergashev (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and AGMK.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for AMGK had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an AMGK win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol Dushanbe	Draw	AGMK
49.81%	27.09%	23.11%

Both teams to score 44.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.13%

59.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86%

80.14%

Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79%

24.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45%

58.55%

AGMK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.17%

41.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71%

78.29%

Score Analysis

Istiqlol Dushanbe 49.8%

AGMK 23.11%

Draw 27.07%

Istiqlol Dushanbe	Draw	AGMK
1-0 @ 14.36% 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 4.82% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.8%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.15% Total : 23.11%