Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Faisaly win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Faisaly win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Faisaly in this match.
