Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Al Faisaly had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Al Faisaly win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al-Sadd in this match.