Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe

Albulayhi (39'), Babhir (52', 64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hanonov (41')
Davronov (4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Hilal and Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-Hilal	Draw	Istiqlol Dushanbe
48.35%	23.03%	28.62%

Both teams to score 61.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.75%

39.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.41%

61.58%

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.74%

46.26%

Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8%

26.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71%

61.29%

Score Analysis

Al-Hilal 48.35%

Istiqlol Dushanbe 28.62%

Draw 23.02%

Al-Hilal	Draw	Istiqlol Dushanbe
2-1 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.35%	1-1 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 6.99% 0-1 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.62%