Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istiqlol Dushanbe win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
