Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mumbai City win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mumbai City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mumbai City in this match.
