Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Mumbai City had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Mumbai City win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.
