Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win with a probability of 37%. A win for Mumbai City had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Mumbai City win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
