SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win with a probability of 37%. A win for Mumbai City had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Mumbai City win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Draw | Mumbai City |
| 37% | 27.29% | 35.71% |
| Both teams to score 49.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% | 55.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% | 76.7% |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% | 28.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.22% | 64.77% |
| Mumbai City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% | 29.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.25% | 65.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya | Draw | Mumbai City |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.71% |
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