Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Al Quwa Al Jawiya win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.
