Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wihdat win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wihdat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wihdat would win this match.
