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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2021 at 3pm UK
Workers Stadium

Beijing Guoan
2 - 3
United City

Jiang (1'), J (4')
N (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hartmann (59', 80'), Maranon (69')
Kane (20')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Beijing Guoan and United City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for United City had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.41%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest United City win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawUnited City
40.14%22.3%37.56%
Both teams to score 68.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.75%32.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.14%53.85%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.08%16.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.02%46.97%
United City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98%18.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11%48.89%
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 40.14%
    United City 37.56%
    Draw 22.3%
Beijing GuoanDrawUnited City
2-1 @ 8.25%
1-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 4.88%
2-0 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.86%
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 40.14%
1-1 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 7.07%
0-0 @ 3.05%
3-3 @ 2.39%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.3%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-1 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 4.55%
0-2 @ 4.48%
2-3 @ 4.04%
0-3 @ 2.56%
1-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.1%
3-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 37.56%

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