Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Chiangrai United had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Chiangrai United win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.