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J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 27, 2021 at 11am UK
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka
2 - 1
Tokushima Vortis

Patric (27'), Usami (72')
Miura (65'), Ichimi (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Iwao (65' pen.)
Kishimoto (6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Tokushima Vortis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawTokushima Vortis
41.96%27.54%30.5%
Both teams to score 48.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.59%57.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78%78.22%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66%62.34%
Tokushima Vortis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13%70.87%
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 41.96%
    Tokushima Vortis 30.5%
    Draw 27.53%
Gamba OsakaDrawTokushima Vortis
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 41.96%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.53%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.5%

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