Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
