Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Daegu win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Daegu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Daegu would win this match.
