Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
