Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
