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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 30, 2021 at 6.45pm UK
Azadi Stadium

Esteghlal
1 - 0
Al-Shorta

Diabate (14' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ali (19'), Dawood (21'), Fayad (22'), Qasim Majid (85'), Natiq (88')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Esteghlal and Al-Shorta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Al-Shorta had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for an Al-Shorta win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Esteghlal in this match.

Result
EsteghlalDrawAl-Shorta
50.33%26.08%23.59%
Both teams to score 47.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01%55.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92%77.08%
Esteghlal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69%22.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22%55.77%
Al-Shorta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84%39.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12%75.87%
Score Analysis
    Esteghlal 50.33%
    Al-Shorta 23.59%
    Draw 26.07%
EsteghlalDrawAl-Shorta
1-0 @ 13.1%
2-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 50.33%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.19%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 23.59%

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