Pakhtakor
2 - 1
Esteghlal

Ceran (43'), Derdiyok (47')
Krimets (5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Karimi (32')
Arsalan Motahari (4'), Daneshgar (75'), Rezavand (77'), Zakipour (87'), Ghaedi (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Pakhtakor Tashkent and Esteghlal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Esteghlal had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Esteghlal win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pakhtakor Tashkent would win this match.

Result
Pakhtakor Tashkent	Draw	Esteghlal
39.81%	26.24%	33.94%

Both teams to score 53.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.52%

51.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.71%

73.28%

Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59%

25.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78%

60.22%

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19%

28.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33%

64.66%

Score Analysis

Pakhtakor Tashkent 39.8%

Esteghlal 33.94%

Draw 26.24%

Pakhtakor Tashkent	Draw	Esteghlal
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.8%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.94%