Esteghlal
5 - 2
Al-Ahli

Esmaeili (5'), Naderi (54'), Ghaedi (67', 86'), Diabate (88' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Al Somah (27' pen., 79')
Al Somah (37'), Al Moasher (68')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Esteghlal and Al-Ahli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esteghlal would win this match.

Result
Esteghlal	Draw	Al-Ahli
52.14%	24.54%	23.32%

Both teams to score 51.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.68%

50.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73%

72.26%

Esteghlal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.72%

19.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99%

51.01%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.75%

36.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.96%

73.03%

Score Analysis

Esteghlal 52.13%

Al-Ahli 23.32%

Draw 24.54%

Esteghlal	Draw	Al-Ahli
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.47% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3% Total : 52.13%	1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.54%	0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 3.6% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.84% Total : 23.32%