Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Foolad win with a probability of 34.7%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 32.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Foolad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 2-1 (6.24%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 (14.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (16.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
