Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Foolad win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Ahal had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Foolad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Ahal win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Foolad in this match.

Result
Foolad	Draw	Ahal
45.06%	25.75%	29.18%

Both teams to score 52.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.96%

51.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.1%

72.9%

Foolad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.4%

22.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.79%

56.21%

Ahal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17%

31.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73%

68.27%

Score Analysis

Foolad 45.06%

Ahal 29.18%

Draw 25.74%

Foolad	Draw	Ahal
1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.06%	1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.19% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.18%