Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 43.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 28.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win it was 0-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
