Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.