Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Shandong Luneng Taishan had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.