Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
