SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lion City Sailors win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Kitchee had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lion City Sailors win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.31%) and 1-0 (4.77%). The likeliest Kitchee win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lion City Sailors | Draw | Kitchee |
42.95% ( 4.1) | 21.49% ( 0.37) | 35.56% ( -4.47) |
| Both teams to score 71.02% ( -2.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.63% ( -2.39) | 28.36% ( 2.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.8% ( -3.02) | 49.19% ( 3.02) |
| Lion City Sailors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.74% ( 0.5) | 14.26% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.97% ( 0.96) | 42.03% ( -0.95) |
| Kitchee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -2.84) | 17.16% ( 2.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.59% ( -5.26) | 47.41% ( 5.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lion City Sailors | Draw | Kitchee |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.52)1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.72)3-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.77)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.55)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.29)4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.68% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.34)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.6)0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.5)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.35)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.49)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.43)3-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.56% |
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