SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Bangkok United had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Bangkok United win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kitchee | Draw | Bangkok United |
43.16% ( -0.43) | 23.79% ( 0.07) | 33.04% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.24) | 40.68% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.93% ( -0.24) | 63.06% ( 0.24) |
| Kitchee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( -0.28) | 19.13% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.21% ( -0.46) | 50.78% ( 0.45) |
| Bangkok United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( 0.09) | 24.16% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( 0.13) | 58.47% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kitchee | Draw | Bangkok United |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.33% Total : 43.16% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.04% |
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