SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 62.5%. A win for Lion City Sailors had a probability of 20.24% and a draw had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.27%) and 3-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Lion City Sailors win was 1-2 (4.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kitchee | Draw | Lion City Sailors |
62.5% ( -0.14) | 17.26% ( 0.18) | 20.24% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 73.72% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.09% ( -0.97) | 19.9% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.04% ( -1.39) | 37.96% ( 1.39) |
| Kitchee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.49% ( -0.3) | 6.5% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.73% ( -0.8) | 24.27% ( 0.8) |
| Lion City Sailors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( -0.68) | 21.15% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% ( -1.06) | 54.01% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kitchee | Draw | Lion City Sailors |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.1)4-3 @ 2% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)5-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)6-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.15% Total : 62.5% | 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.93% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)0-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 20.24% |
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