Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.