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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Ratchaburi

Mateus (50'), Kakitani (73'), Yamasaki (79')
Mateus (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mapuku (60'), Sueasakul (85'), Wettayawong (87')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nagoya Grampus and Ratchaburi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Ratchaburi had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Ratchaburi win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawRatchaburi
54.94%21.85%23.2%
Both teams to score 60.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38%38.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.08%60.92%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95%14.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39%41.61%
Ratchaburi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09%29.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34%66%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 54.94%
    Ratchaburi 23.2%
    Draw 21.85%
Nagoya GrampusDrawRatchaburi
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 6.39%
3-0 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 3.14%
4-0 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 1.89%
5-1 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.94%
1-1 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 4.2%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-1 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 23.2%

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