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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2021 at 11am UK
 

Ratchaburi
0 - 4
Nagoya Grampus

 
FT(HT: 0-3)
Yamasaki (26', 31', 45+1'), Saito (69')
Morishita (81')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ratchaburi and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Ratchaburi had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Ratchaburi win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
RatchaburiDrawNagoya Grampus
27.84%23.94%48.23%
Both teams to score 57.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98%44.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.6%66.4%
Ratchaburi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81%29.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87%65.13%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61%18.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47%49.52%
Score Analysis
    Ratchaburi 27.84%
    Nagoya Grampus 48.23%
    Draw 23.94%
RatchaburiDrawNagoya Grampus
2-1 @ 6.89%
1-0 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 11.19%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-1 @ 9.09%
0-2 @ 7.7%
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-3 @ 4.35%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 2.27%
0-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 48.23%

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