Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Ratchaburi had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Ratchaburi win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.