SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Ratchaburi had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Ratchaburi win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ratchaburi | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 27.84% | 23.94% | 48.23% |
| Both teams to score 57.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% | 44.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.6% | 66.4% |
| Ratchaburi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% | 29.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.87% | 65.13% |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% | 18.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.47% | 49.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ratchaburi | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 2-1 @ 6.89% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.38% Total : 27.84% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-1 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 5.35% 0-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.23% |
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