Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
