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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2021 at 11am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 0
Jiangsu

Kakitani (34'), Mateus (65' pen., 82')
Yoshida (50'), Nagasawa (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Shin (39'), Grant (66'), Lee (86'), Lee (88')
Shin (64')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nagoya Grampus and Jiangsu Suning.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawJiangsu Suning
44.53%23.3%32.16%
Both teams to score 62.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.37%38.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.07%60.93%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26%17.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58%48.42%
Jiangsu Suning Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.8%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 44.53%
    Jiangsu Suning 32.16%
    Draw 23.29%
Nagoya GrampusDrawJiangsu Suning
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.2%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-1 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.16%

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